martes, 30 de diciembre de 2025

Future Outlook for Nation-States

 


   The future of current nation-states appears to have a very bleak outlook. But beware, because capitalism itself seemed to have a similar outlook for most of the last century. Globalism's exploitation of cultural and sexual minorities, radicalizing their rights without limits, contributes to damaging the generational renewal of Western nations, promoting mass abortion and female infertility through propaganda, and destroying the traditional family structure established in the West. This leads, in the short and medium term, to population replacement due to the much higher fertility of immigrant populations. This poses a serious problem for the preservation of the cultural identity of Western nation-states.

But the problem wouldn't be solved by drastically closing national borders to immigration in an attempt to contain the avalanche of disorderly migration that the USA and the EU are currently experiencing. Nor would it be solved by encouraging birth rates among the native population. Such measures might help to some extent. But these are measures difficult to implement efficiently without resorting to dictatorial or authoritarian methods, which could endanger liberal democracy itself, leading to the triumph of uncontrollable reactionary populism, as happened in the 1930s with the rise of Nazism.

Western nation-states need immigration, as happened in the Roman Empire when a standard of living was reached that made the hardest labor unattractive to the Roman populace. Therefore, slavery, provided by their conquests, was introduced, along with economic subsidies and the cultural entertainment of "bread and circuses." Today, the equivalent in an advanced industrial society would be so-called "migrants" (a term I dislike because it seems more appropriate for animals like birds), along with subsidized entertainment and subsistence wages paid to natives, which are demanded to be paid for life. The job destruction caused by Artificial Intelligence may even accelerate this process. Without such "migrants," the economy would collapse. But with them, serious problems of coexistence could arise, leading to struggles and confrontations, dividing their populations and resulting in civil wars or serious uprisings and riots.

Religious, racial, and cultural differences could have a significant influence on this. France was the first country where the conflictive nature of mass Muslim immigration from its former colonies was observed. Religious customs derived from Islamic law clash head-on with those derived from the laws of its glorious republican tradition. Entire neighborhoods on the outskirts of cities, where a majority of the Muslim immigrant population is concentrated, escape these laws and any state police control. England has been following the same path in recent years due to mass immigration of Muslims from Pakistan, in addition to those from its former African colonies. Germany, besides the massive immigration of Muslims resulting from the Syrian war, has the previous and persistent immigration from Türkiye. The Islamist attacks that began in France (Bataclan) have spread to several German cities. The consequence, given the inaction of governments that follow the EU's radically globalist policies, has been the growing electoral rise of parties like the AfD, Le Pen's party, Farage's party, and others.

The same thing is happening in Spain, but to a lesser extent because most of the massive irregular immigration comes from South America, which shares the same culture as the mother country. Muslim immigration, mainly from Morocco, is much smaller. This stems from the different approach to civilization implemented by Spain in the Americas and the Philippines, converting their populations to Catholicism, compared to what the British, Dutch, and others did in Asia, where they practiced purely mercantile colonialism, tolerating ancient, and often barbaric, religious beliefs and superstitions. Spain, through a skillful policy of racial mixing and integration of native populations, paid a very high economic price, but made a cultural investment that we can appreciate today, as it has an immigrant population that should not pose serious integration problems. The USA shares with Spain the majority of its South American immigrants, as well as those from Mexico and the Caribbean. The potential conflict may stem from their different customs of Hispanic or Anglo-Saxon origin, which, nevertheless, are products of countries as Western as Spain and England. Therefore, it should not lead to clashes that are unacceptable to the majority of the American population.

Japan and Australia are considered part of Western civilization. Australia maintains fairly strict immigration control laws, although globalist policies remain highly influential there. Japan is overpopulated and has a rapidly aging population. They are looking to robotics, rather than immigrants, as it can reduce the need for manual labor and replace domestic help.

Finally, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates, due to their high economic development, also require massive immigration. However, as absolute monarchies, they are able to refuse to integrate migrant workers from countries like India, returning them to their countries of origin without granting them political rights.

Manuel F. Lorenzo


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